Technology Futures Inc.
Ms. Carrie Vanston,
Media Relations Director
(800) TEK-FUTR, (512) 258-8898

Ms. Debra Robison,
Publications Sales
(800) TEK-FUTR, (512) 258-8898

Forecasts for Broadband Communications: An Analyst Paper by TFI

AUSTIN, Texas, December 2005-Broadband will continue to be adopted at a rapid rate, and ultimately, reach levels of penetration comparable to other popular consumer electronics. Higher broadband speeds will also increase dramatically. By 2010, over 10% of U.S. households will likely subscribe to at least 24 Mb/s service, and by 2015 penetration should exceed 50%. Internet protocol video (IP video), especially high- definition (HD) IP video, is a key driver for higher data rates. This 12-page analyst paper by Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D. (President, TFI) provides analyses and forecasts for each.

According to Dr. Vanston, "Both Moore's Law and the move to IP video are driving an increase in data rates for broadband, and with entertainment, voice, and information all being delivered efficiently over Internet connections, near ubiquity is almost inevitable. The ability to provision very high data rates, reliably, economically, and universally, will be the key to carrier competitiveness in the future."

A table of contents and a list of exhibits follow this press release.

We would be pleased to have this analyst report reviewed by your publication and/or be cited for articles examining the subject matter. Dr. Vanston would also be glad to be interviewed and quoted for articles relating to the subject matter.

Author Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D., is an internationally- recognized authority in the use of technology forecasting in the telecom industry. His research reports and forecasts are used and referenced extensively worldwide. Dr. Vanston's views on telecom trends have also been cited in many major publications including "Telephony," "America's Network," and "Lightwave." The September 21, 1998 issue of "The Wall Street Journal" featured an in-depth interview entitled "Consultant's Call: Lawrence Vanston Makes Some Pretty Bold Predictions for the Future of Telecommunications. He Has Been Right Before." Notably, the predictions therein have likewise come true.

For more than 25 years, TFI has helped organizations plan for the future by offering outstanding technology forecasting, strategic planning, trend analysis, and strategic market research services in high-technology and telecom technologies. Drawing on proven, quantifiable forecasting methods and strategic applications, we combine the vision of the futurist with the down-to-earth judgment of the technologist. Let us be "Your Bridge to the Future."

We are always happy to comment on the subjects of technology and telecom trends. For a list of citations by our staff members, please see TFI News. For more press material, please visit our Press Room.

PRESS CONTACT: Please contact Ms. Carrie Vanston at (800) 835-3887, (512) 258-8898, or by email at with questions about the paper and/or to arrange an interview with Dr. Vanston or other technology and telecom experts at TFI.

PURCHASING INFORMATION FOR YOUR READERS: Report details and ordering information is available at Readers interested in purchasing a copy may also contact Debra Robison, Technology Futures, Inc. at (800) TEK-FUTR or (512) 258-8898, fax (512) 258-0087, or send email to The 12-page report is priced at $199.

Thank you for your attention.

# # #

December 2005
Technology Futures, Inc.
13740 Research Boulevard, Building C
Austin, TX 78750
(800) 835-3887 or (512) 258-8898
Fax: (512) 258-0087

"Forecasts for Broadband Communications: An Analyst Paper by TFI "

Table of Contents

Status and Forecast for Broadband Access
Drivers for Higher Bandwidth
Forecast of Households with Very-High-Speed Broadband Access
Forecasts for Broadband Video

List of Exhibits 

1. Forecast Broadband Households, Percentage of Households
2. Adoption of Various Consumer Communications Products and Services
3. Broadband Households in the United States and South Korea
4. Forecast of HDTV Households
5. Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate, Percentage of Households
6. Trend in Residential Access Data Rates
7. Forecast Adoption of Standard and Very-High-Speed Broadband, Percentage of Households
8. TF Forecast of U.S. Households using IP Video
9. Provisional Forecast of U.S. Households Using High-Definition IP Video
10. Comparison of High Definition IP Video and 24 Mb/s Broadband Bandwidth Forecasts

Back to Technology and Telecom Reports Press Releases