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Telecommunications Access Technologies
Ray L. Hodges

Description  [back to top]

This new report from Technology Futures provides a good, concise overview of the competitive access technologies that will impact the local exchange network.

It is inevitable that incumbent local exchange carriers will lose significant market share within their franchise boundaries. The competing technologies -- terrestrial wireless, satellite, or cable -- are simply more economical than the ILECs' circuit switched, copper-based network for multimedia services and will become more economical for voice as their market share declines. It is also now economically practical for multiple competitors to provide fiber facilities in core business districts. Additionally, continued improvements in fiber optic technology and newly available millimeter wave radio systems (i.e., wireless fiber) extend the reach of competitive providers even further to include smaller cities and businesses. The ILECs' natural response to their competition is to expand beyond their franchise boundaries as full-service competitive local exchange carriers or by acquisitions. This, in turn, results in more competition for the other ILECs.

This Comprehensive Report

Key Findings From This Latest TFI Report  [back to top]

Includes Analysis and Forecasts of:

Who should read this report?  [back to top]

Table of Contents  [back to top]

Chapter One: The Telecommunications Landscape
The Technologies
The Competition
The Costs
Chapter Two: Traditional Wireline Telephone Network
Chapter Three: Terrestrial Wireless
Cellular, PCS, 2.5 Generation, and 3rd Generation
Personal Communication Services (PCS)
Multichannel Multipoint Distribution Services (MMDS)
Local Multipoint Distribution Service (LMDS)
Wireless Fiber
Other Wireless
Chapter Four: Cable Networks
Chapter Five: Fiber-Based Competitors
Chapter Six: Satellites
Direct Broadcast Satellites (DBS)
Very Small Aperture Terminals (VSATs)
Narrowband LEOs
Broadband LEOs
A. Notes to Exhibits 5.2 and 5.3
B. List of Selected Cities and Localities Served by CAPs
C. Iridium Investment Partners
List of Acronyms

List of Exhibits  [back to top]

1.1Copper's Competition
2.1Adoption of Interoffice SONET Equipment
2.2Adoption of Loop SONET Equipment
2.3Local Exchange Network Architecture
2.4Cost of Wireline vs. Market Share
2.5Switching Technology Shares
      -- Late ATM Scenarios
2.6Adoption of Interoffice SONET
2.7Adoption of Loop SONET
2.8Digital Service Availability on Fiber
      -- All Households & Business Locations
3.1Diagrammic Cellular Cluster Frequency Pattern
3.2Cellular Telephone Network Architecture
3.3Next-Generation Wireless Systems
3.4Wireless Subscribers by Technology
3.5Top 10 Licenses Ranked by Total
      Population Across Markets
3.6Top 25 Wireless Companies in Terms of
      Actual Subscribers
3.7Wireless Market Make-Up
3.8U.S. Cellular/PCS Subscribers -- Percentage of U.S.
      Population Age 15 and Older
3.9U.S. Cellular/PCS Subscribers
3.10U.S. Cellular/PCS Subscribers (Table)
3.11Basic LMDS NEtwork Architecture
3.12Top LMDS Bidders
3.13LMDS U.S. Business Service Market
4.1Traditional Cable TV Network Tree and
      Branch Architecture
4.2Hybrid Fiber/Coax Cable TV system
4.3Households Using Digital Services
4.4Cable Modems Addressable Market Size
4.5Gompertz Forecast for Cable Modems
4.6Gompertz Forecast for Cable Modems (Table)
4.7Gompertz Forecast for Cable Voice Subscribers
4.8Gompertz Forecast for Cable Voice
      Subscribers (Table)
5.1Network Carrier SONET/SDH Peak
      Transmission Rate vs. Time
5.2Competitive Access Fiber Systems,
      Other Available Data -- 1997
5.3Competitive Access Fiber Systems -- 1997
5.4Fiber Miles
5.5Percentage Growth in Fiber Systems
6.1SCPC Broadcast Network
6.2Bi-Directional Data TDMA Networks
6.3DAMA Network
6.4Frequency Allocation for Non-Geostationary
      Satellite Services
6.5Iridium Systems Overview
6.6Facts about the Iridium Constellation
6.7Celestri LEO System Architecture
6.8Multimedia Communications Market Growth
6.9U.S. Residential Broadband Satellite
      Subscriber Forecast

Pricing Information  [back to top]

March 2000, 98 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG, ISBN 1-884154-13-1

US $45 Electronic Delivery
US $45 Hard Copy Mail Delivery
US $45 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada

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