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Report Cover

Forecasts for Higher Bandwidth Broadband Services
Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D., Ray L. Hodges, and Joseph Savage


Description  [back to top]

This report forecasts the increase in broadband data rates and discusses the applications, especially IP Video, driving the increase. It also covers the current leaders --South Korea, Japan, and Italy. By 2006, U.S. broadband penetration will likely reach 50% and a shift to data rates of 24 Mb/s to 100 Mb/s will have begun. By 2010, 75% broadband penetration is likely, with 10% to 20% of households subscribing to very high-speed-broadband.

Key Findings From This Latest TFI Report  [back to top]

Who should be interested in this report?  [back to top]

Table of Contents  [back to top]

Chapter 1.
Introduction and Summary
Status and Forecast for Broadband Access
Drivers for Higher Bandwidth
Forecast of Households with Very-High-Speed Broadband Access
Network Evolution to Support Very-High-Speed Broadband
Chapter 2.
Forecasts for Broadband Video
Digital TV and High-Definition TV
IP Video
Chapter 3.
Broadband Applications in Precursor Countries
Other Factors in Japan and Korean Broadband Leadership
Chapter 4.
Forecasts of Bandwidth Requirements
Bandwidth Requirements for Video
Overall Bandwidth Requirements
Comparison of IP Video and Broadband Bandwidth Requirements
Chapter 5.
The Deployment of Very-High-Speed Broadband
Options for the Deployment of Very-High-Speed Broadband
Deployment of Very-High-Speed Broadband in Korea
Deployment of Very-High-Speed Broadband in Japan
Network Evolution in North America

List of Exhibits with Featured Graphs  [back to top]

1.1 Forecast Broadband Households, Percentage of Households
1.2 Adoption of Various Consumer Communications Products and Services
1.3 Broadband Households in the United States and South Korea
1.4 Forecast of HDTV Households
1.5 Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate, Percentage of Households --Featured Graph
1.6 Trend in Residential Access Data Rates
1.7 Forecast Adoption of Standard and Very-High-Speed Broadband, Percentage of Households
1.8 Comparison of IP Video and 6 Mb/s Broadband Bandwidth Forecasts
1.9 Comparison of High Definition IP Video and 24 Mb/s Broadband Bandwidth Forecasts
1.10 Broadband Minimum Availability 24 Mb/s & Above
1.11 Distribution Fiber Scenarios
1.12 Comparison of the Early Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband
1.13 Comparison of the Middle Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband
1.14 Comparison of the Late Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband
2.1 Subscribers to Direct Broadcast Satellite and Other Digital Competitors
2.2 Subscribers to Cable Telephony, including VoIP
2.3 Subscribers to Digital Cable
2.4 On Demand Television vs. Broadcast Television
2.5 Growth in HDTV Programming Availability in The U. S.
2.6 HDTV Installedled Base in the U.S.
2.7 Forecast of HDTV Households
2.8 Provisional Forecast of U.S. Households using IP Video
2.9 Provisional Forecast of U.S. Households Using High-Definition IP Video --Featured Graph
3.1 Effective Broadband Access Costs with Equalized Purchasing Power
4.1 Comparison of IP Video and 6 Mb/s Broadband Bandwidth Forecast
4.2 Comparison of Households with Both HDTV and Broadband and 6 Mb/s Bandwidth Forecasts
4.3 Comparison of High Definition IP Video and 24 Mb/s Bandwidth Forecasts
5.1 Alternative Passive Optical Networks Technologies
5.2 Speed of Broadband Access National Targets
5.3 Added Subscribers by Broadband Access Type in Japan
5.4 Broadband Minimum Availability 24 Mb/s & Above
5.5 Distribution Fiber Scenarios
5.6 Comparison of the Early Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband
5.7 Comparison of the Middle Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband
5.8 Comparison of the Late Distribution Fiber Scenario and the Required Availability of Very-High-Speed Broadband

Pricing Information  [back to top]

December 2004, 47 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG, ISBN ISBN 1-884154-22-0

US $495 Electronic Delivery
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